Market Insights

The December 2025 market data reveals a stabilizing yet divergent regional picture across the tri-county area. San Joaquin County emerged as the clear leader in sales momentum, posting a robust 13.1% year-over-year increase in home sales despite a modest 1.7% decline in median price to $525,900. This surge in transaction activity suggests strong buyer confidence and improving affordability in the region. Sacramento County showed flat performance with a slight 0.1% uptick in sales but continued to face pricing pressure with a 2.8% year-over-year decline, bringing its median to $530,000. Solano County, maintaining the highest median price at $570,000, achieved price stability with 0.0% year-over-year change but saw sales contract marginally by 0.8%.

Market velocity metrics paint an evolving picture of buyer behavior and inventory dynamics. Sacramento and San Joaquin counties maintained relatively similar absorption rates at 37 and 38 days median time on market respectively, indicating healthy buyer demand and efficient turnover. However, Solano County continued to face slower movement with homes taking 65 days to sell—a dramatic 44.9% increase year-over-year and nearly double the pace of neighboring counties. Inventory levels compressed across all three markets, with Sacramento showing the tightest supply at just 2.2 months, followed by Solano at 2.5 months and San Joaquin at 2.7 months. These sub-3-month inventory levels signal seller-favorable conditions across the region, even as price trajectories diverge.